摘要
传统的期货对冲模型多数忽视了期货和现货收益高阶矩风险的影响。本文使用效用函数的Taylor展开分析了高阶矩风险对投资者目标函数的影响,并利用二元GARCHSK模型对期货和现货收益的条件高阶矩风险进行了动态建模,在此基础上提出了考虑条件高阶矩风险的动态对冲模型。通过使用恒生指数期货和现货数据的实证表明,考虑条件高阶矩的动态对冲策略和静态策略相比,能够更有效地降低高阶矩风险和提高投资者的效用。
The higher-order moments risk is often ignored in the most of the traditional futures hedging models. In this paper, a dynamic hedging model considering conditional higher-order moments risk is proposed, in which the impacts of the higher-order moments are considered based on the Taylor series expansion of the utility function and the time-varying higher-order moments risk is measured using the GARCHSK model. The empirical results indicate that the dynamic hedging strategy can reduce the higher-order moments risk and increase the utility of the investor compared to the static strategy.
出处
《管理工程学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第4期64-68,共5页
Journal of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management
基金
国家杰出青年基金资助项目(70225002)
国家自然科学基金资助项目(70771076)