摘要
湖南地处我国中部,人口众多,就业压力大,如何有效地促进就业是亟待解决的问题之一。本文利用产业结构偏离度对湖南三次产业结构与就业增长之间的关系进行了分析,得出在1978年～2007年,每年有大量的劳动力从第一产业向第二和第三产业转移;通过引入向量误差修正模型(VEC)分析得出,第二产业吸纳劳动力资源的能力有限,第三产业是解决就业压力的主力军;最后通过就业弹性分析了产业内部结构变动对就业的贡献。
Hunan province locates in the middle of China. There arc a large number of people, so the pressure of unemployment is high. How to effectively promote the employment is an important problem to the Government. This paper firstly analyzes the relationship between three changes of the industrial structure and employment increase by the method of structure deviation degree, the conclusion is that there are many labor force entering into the second and the third industry from the primary industry, and the VEC model shows that the second industry has a limited ability to accommodate the labor, only the third industry can accommodation the large number of unemployment. Finally, this paper analyzes the change of the inside of industry structure and its influence on the employment increase from the aspect of employment elasticity.
出处
《新疆财经大学学报》
2009年第4期29-37,共9页
Journal of Xinjiang University of Finance & Economics
关键词
产业结构
就业增长
结构偏离度
VEC模型
湖南
industrial structure
employment growth
structure deviation degree
VEC Model
Hunan province
