滁州市对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证分析

Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Chuzhou

以安徽滁州1992-2007年相关数据,通过协整理论和格兰杰因果关系检验实证分析对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系。结果表明,滁州市对外贸易与经济增长之间存在相关关系和单向Granger因果关系,进口和出口都能拉动经济增长,但拉动力度均不强烈。根据分析结果,提出如何进一步加大开放力度、发挥对外贸易作用的建议。

The relationship between foreign trade and economic growth in Chuzhou is analyzed by applying cointegration analytical tools and Granger causality test.The study indicates that the relationship between the foreign trade and economic growth keeps steady with only single direction Granger causality.The foreign trade has promoted the economic growth.The driving force,however,is not so strong.Some suggestions are put forward to exert the influence of foreign trade on economic growth.