政府非税收入对经济增长影响的实证分析

An Empirical Study of the Influence of Governmental Non-tax Revenue on Economic Growth

利用1994-2007年间的相关数据,通过对我国政府非税收入与经济增长的相关性进行实证分析,其结果表明:GDP总量与政府非税收入互为因果,即经济增长能促进政府非税收入的增长,非税收入的增长也会反作用于经济增长;若分项考察中央与地方政府非税收入对经济增长的作用力,则地方非税收入与经济增长的关系更为密切,两者之间的互动性更强。然而,地方经济发展更多地依赖于非税收入的增长,在某种意义上也反映了我国目前财政体制还有不完善之处。因此,为促进我国经济的持续、健康发展,应保持政府非税收入的合理规模,调整中央与地方政府的非税收入范围,并进一步健全我国财政分权体制及政府非税收入管理机制。

By making use of the relevant data from 1994 to 2007, this paper conducts an empirical analysis of the relativity between China＇ s government non-tax revenue and economic growth. The results indicate that the relation between GDP and the government non-tax revenue is a relation of reciprocal causation, i.e. economic growth can promote the growth of government non-tax income, the growth of non-tax revenue Will also be counter-productive to economic growth; if to examine the acting forces of the non-tax revenue of the central and local governments on the economic growth, it can be found that there is a more close relation and stronger interaction between the local non-tax revenue and economic growth. However, the over-reliance of local economic development on non-tax revenue growth, in a sense, also reflects the imperfections of China＇ s current financial system. Therefore, in order to promote the sustainable and healthy development of China＇ s economy, the government non-tax revenue should be maintained at a reasonable size, the range of the non-tax income of the central and local governments should be adjusted, and China＇ s fiscal decentralization system and the management mechanism for the government non-tax revenue should be further improved.