经济转型期间城镇工资支付结构的变迁

The Change of Wage Payment Structure of Urban China during Economic Transition:A Quantile Regressional Analysis

文章使用分位数回归方法考察了1988～2002年间中国城镇工资结构的变迁、特别是其决定因素在整个工资分布区间上的变化。作者发现对教育的回报在增长,而对工作经验的回报在下降。2002年的数据表明,不断扩大的性别工资差距可能已不再上升。世纪之交的最大变化可能是中国经济悄然开始了由劳动密集型向知识技能密集型转变。

In this paper,we examine the determinants of China's urban wages from 1988 to 2002 by applying quantile regression method over the whole range of wage distribution.We find increased returns to education but a decrease in the returns to experience.The 2002 data imply that the widening pure gender gap may have come to an end.The reform of the state-owned sector is shown to impact wages of workers within those sectors.At the turn of the century,the Chinese economy quietly started its change from labour intensiveness to knowledge intensiveness;besides,it seems that unskilled labour become scarce.