摘要
本文基于经济学文献的理论与经验分析,回答了主要经济指标在金融危机爆发前后是否存在规律性波动这一命题。为回答这一命题,我们从文献评述的视角对金融危机爆发前后资产价格的波动趋势、GDP的波动趋势和经常项目差额占GDP比例的波动趋势进行了考察。本文的研究结果表明,从上述三个角度来看,主要经济指标的波动趋势在金融危机爆发前后是存在规律性和相似性的。
Based on the theoretical and empirical analysis of economics literature, the paper explores the proposition that there are regular fluctuations of major economic indicators before and after the outbreak of financial crisis. It examines the trend of asset price fluctuation, GDP fluctuation and the current account fluctuation before and after the outbreak of financial crisis based on the perspective of literature review. The results confirm that there is similarity in indicator changes before and after the outbreak of financial crisis.
出处
《上海金融》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第12期11-16,共6页
Shanghai Finance
关键词
金融危机
宏观经济指标
规律性波动
Financial Crisis
Macroeconomic Indicators
Regular Fluctuation