2009年世界经济形势分析及对2010年的展望

Analysis of world economic situation in 2009 and prospects for 2010

2009年将是被历史铭记的一年。在这一年中，人类首次经历了第二次世界大战以来全球经济负增长，而且衰退幅度很可能超过-1％。作为导致本次全球衰退起因的美国次贷危机及金融危机，到目前为止已大体上得到控制。受其波及和拖累的世界经济，进入下半年以来已经开始反弹，并显露出各种复苏的迹象。鉴于目前还存在着诸多不确定性，

2009 will be remembered by history. During the year, humans for the first time experienced negative growth in the global economy since World War II, and the decline rate is likely to more than -1%. As a result of this global recession, the causes of the U.S. sub-prime mortgage crisis and the financial crisis, has so far been largely brought under control. The rebound of the world economy has begun since the second half of 2009, and revealed all kinds of signs of recovery. However, there are still many uncertainties. It is still too early to assert that the global economy has fully recovered from the recession. This paper discusses such six areas as global growth, employment, trade, investment, finance, oil and other primary products. Conclusions are given to determine the overall world economic situation in 2009 and the overall outlook for 2010.