最高最低气温突升突降概念模型预报工具初探

Brief Discuss on the conceptual model forecasting tool of the Maximum and minimum temperatures Sudden change

通过数理统计和气候分析的方法,得出百色单站24h最高最低气温突升突降的分布特征,进行区间划分和分型。利用概念模型预报方法进行研究,得出最高最低气温突升突降的概念模型预报工具。

Through the mathematical statistics and climate analysis methods, the distribution characteristics of sudden increase and drop in 24h maximum and minimum temperature over Baise weather station were analyzed to obtain its Interval division and sub-types. Then by using Conceptual model forecasting methods, the conceptual model forecasting tool of the sudden increase and drop in the Maximum and minimum temperatures was also discussed.