4Chatfield C. The Analysis of Time Series : An Introduction [ M]. New York: Chapman and Hall, 1984.
5Bavia Me, Hale LF, Malone JB, et al. Geographic information systems and the environmental risk of schistosomiasis in Bahia, Brazil[J]. Am J Med Hyg, 1999, 60:556 - 572.
6Anderson RM, Grenfell BT. Quantitative investigations of different vaccination policies for the control of congenital rubella syndrome (CRS) in the United Kingdom[J].J Hyg (Lond), 1986, 96:305-333.
7Garnett GP, Mertz K J, Finelli L, et al. The transmission of dynamics of gonorrhoea:modelling the reported behaviour of infected patients from Newark, New Jersey[J].Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci, 1999, 354:787-797.
8Robinson NJ, Mulder DW, Auvert B, et al. Modelling the impact of alternative HIV intervention strategies in rural Uganda[J].AIDS, 1995, 9: 1263-1270.
