试析南海问题中的美国因素

The US Factor in South China Sea

南海争端涉及多个国家。作为最大域外因素的美国对南海问题的关注和介入日益突出,"9.11"事件后,美国主要通过加强军事存在、与南海周边国家进行能源合作、加强与东盟合作三个渠道介入南海问题。在相当长的时间里,美国的南海政策仍以主动、扩张、威慑为主,其牵制中国崛起的基本方针不会改变;同时,美国参与和建构新的南海多边安全机制构想已日趋凸现。

Dispute in the South China Sea involves a lot of countries in the area.As a most influential power outside South China Sea,the United States' attention and intervention on South China Sea is increasingly prominent.After the September 11 Attacks,the United States intervenes the ISCS through three major channels:strengthening military existence,cooperation with neighboring countries of South China Sea on energy,and strengthening cooperation with the ASEAN.In a considerable long-time future,the policies of United States on ISCS will be still and mainly on initiative,expansion and deterrence and the fundamental policy on pinning down the rise of China will not change.Meanwhile,the framework of United States on active participating and building new multilateral security mechanism on ISCS is increasingly emerging.The paper analyses the policy of United States on South China Sea,and make some recommendations on how to deal with the US factor.