曲阜市土地利用结构预测

Qufu City Land Use Structure Forecast

根据马尔可夫模型和灰色系统GM(1,1)模型分别对曲阜市土地利用结构进行了预测,得出了2010年和2015年曲阜市土地利用预测结果.经过比对,两种方法均可作为土地利用结构预测方法.并根据预测结果提出了进一步加强土地管理的措施.

According to the Markov model and GM （ 1,1 ） model, this paper forecast the land use structure in 2010 and 2015 in Qufu city. By comparing, the two methods used for forecasting land-use structure are feasible. Based on the forecasting results, some valuable propositions are proposed to further strengthen the land manage.