摘要
文章以国家统计局发布的1978—2007年统计数据为基础,运用计量经济学中Granger Causality因果关系检验法和回归分析法对中国经济增长与金融中介之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明:中国经济增长与金融中介之间存在双向明显的因果关系。1978—2007年,金融中介对中国经济增长的贡献率约为25.43%,表明金融中介在一定程度上促进了中国经济的增长。
Based on the data from 1978 to 2007 released by China Statistical Bureau, this paper analyzes the relationship between economic growth and financial intermediary by using Granger Causality test and regression analysis. After detailed research, some results have been concluded： the two way causality between economic growth and financial intermediary in China is very clear; the contribution rate of financial intermediary to economic growth in China from 1978 to 2007 is about 25.43%, this fact shows that financial intermediary drives economic growth in China to a certain extent.
出处
《改革与战略》
北大核心
2010年第1期80-82,共3页
Reformation & Strategy
基金
辽宁省哲学社会科学规划基金项目资助(项目编号:L08DJY113)
关键词
经济增长
金融中介
因果关系检验
回归分析法
贡献率
economic growth
financial intermediary
Granger Causality
regression analysis
contribution rate
