对辽宁省国民体质监测样本设计与使用问题的研究

Sample Design and People's Physique Monitoring in Liaoning Province

利用2005年辽宁省国民体质监测资料,针对国民体质监测样本设计和使用中的问题加以分析研究,旨在为2010年辽宁省国民体质监测样本设计和资料分析提供参考。结果提示在对全省水平进行估计时应根据各市人口规模大小对各市样本进行加权处理,以减小估计误差;在对各市资料分析时,应注意样本不足造成的过大估计误差;在设计国民体质监测样本时,应考虑采用多种方案增加各市样本量,至少应保证重要城市的样本量;可以根据以往调研资料选择代表性最好的城市组合。同时建议辽宁省有关部门在2010年国民体质监测开始前,组织专家进行研讨,重新评估和设计辽宁省调研方案。

Depending on all the information of people＇s physique monitoring got from Liaoning province in 2005, the paper analyzes and studies the design of the physique monitoring samples and the problems exiting in its uses, aiming at providing a reference for designing the sample of people＇s physique monitoring and information analyzing. It is firstly shown that in order to reduce the estimated errors,when all the people in a province are the target,the size of the population scale in different cities should be considered. Secondly, when we design the samples of people＇s physique monitoring, it should be considered to increase the amount of samples in every city, at least in chief cities. Thirdly, it is better to choose and assemble the information of these typical cities investigated before. At the same time, the paper suggests that it is best to organize expertise to discuss, reevaluate and redesign a new investigation plan before beginning it in Liaoning province in 2010.