公交运行时间预测方法分析

Analysis on Prediction Methods of Public Transportation Running Time

本文介绍了公交运行时间的预测方法,在交通调查的基础上,应用各种方法进行预测,并对各种预测结果进行误差分析。结果表明,移动平均法的相对误差较指数平滑法小。

This thesis introduces the prediction methods of public transportation running time. Based on traffic survey, it predicts the running time with different methods, and analyzes the prediction results. The results indicate that the proportional error of Moving Average Method is smaller than Index Smoothing Method.