摘要
基于可靠性工程理论,提出了一种用"可靠度"表征驾驶人可靠性量化结果的方法.该方法由驾驶人反应时间推算差错率,并从驾驶人行为致因理论出发,为处于不同行车阶段的驾驶人筛选不同的可靠性影响因子.仿真结果表明,该量化方法不仅能统计分析驾驶人可靠度,还能描述可靠度与时间的变化关系,分析各影响因子和可靠度的关系,为安全行车提供可行建议.
A new quantification method on transience reliability for drivers is proposed by a new definition "confidence degree", whose error rate is calculated by the response time of drivers, and the influence factors of reliability for drivers in different running stage are analyzed in the paper based on Behavior-causing Theory. The simulation results show that the new method could not only statiscally analyze the reliability but also describe the relationship between reliability and time and it could analyze the influence factors to influence the transience reliability degree. And some advices for driving safely are given.
出处
《长沙理工大学学报(自然科学版)》
CAS
2009年第4期52-58,共7页
Journal of Changsha University of Science and Technology:Natural Science
基金
湖南省自然科学基金资助项目(08jj3120)
交通部应用基础研究资助项目(200431982515)
湖南省教育厅科研资助项目(CS0903)
关键词
交通工程
驾驶人可靠性
可信度
差错率
影响因子
traffic engineering
reliability of drivers
confidence degree
error rate
influ- ence factors