突出小地震活动事件作为中强震短临预报判据的研究

RESEARCH ON THE OUTSTANDING ACTIVE EVENTS OF SMALL EARTHQUAKES USED AS A CRITERION FOR IMPENDING AND SHORT-TERM PREDICTION OF MODERATE EARTHQUAKES

对新疆1970年以来突出小震活动事件进行了统计分析,给出突出小地震活动事件与5级以上中强震的对应关系,提出以突出小地震活动事件中小地震发生的时间间隔和频度预报中强震的短期判据。

The Paper, based on statistical analysis on the outstanding active events of small earthquakes in Xinjiang since 1970,has shown the corresponding relationship between the outstanding active events of small earthquakes and the moderate earthquakes (Ms≥5. 0).Then a short-term criterion of moderate earthquakes prediction has been provided by way of both time interval and frequency of the small earthquakes among the outstanding active events.