经济转轨背景下改革的路径和模式选择——以中国自然垄断行业为例

Choice of Path and Model on Revolution under the Background of Economy Transformation——Based on the Case of Natural Monopoly Industry in China

经济转轨过程中,各国选择了不同的路径,从模式选择上分别出现激进式转轨模式与渐进式转轨模式。通过对两种模式的特点及绩效进行比较,结合中国改革模式选择的动因分析,我们可发现渐进式改革模式是一种符合中国国情、在市场体系不完善的条件下的必然选择。最后,以中国的自然垄断行业的改革为例,引入博弈模型,验证出自然垄断行业不能实行全部私有化的政策,而需实施渐进式改革,采用混合所有制,引入适度竞争。

During the period of economy transition, different countries choose different path, and there are two models of transformation： radical transformation and gradual transformation. Compared with the characters and performances of the two models, combined with the incentive to the choice, we will find that gradual reform is the way suitable for China and it is the necessary choice under the circumstance of imperfect market system. Finally, based on the case of natural monopoly industry in China, we bring in the game model to verify that it can＇t implement thorough -going privatization policy. In contrast, we should carry on the gradual reform, and take advantage of mixed ownership to bring in moderate competition.