国际金融危机后出口变化对我国高技术产业的影响——基于投入产出方法的结构性分析

Study on the Effect of Export on China’s Hi-tech Industries after the International Financial Crisis Based on Input-output Structural Analysis

本文运用投入产出分析工具,通过产业之间的关联,着重分析了国际金融危机后,我国出口变化对高技术产业的直接影响和间接影响。通过计算发现,高技术产业本身的出口变化是高技术产业产出出现波动的主要原因,高技术产业对出口变化的灵敏度要远远高于非高技术产业。同时,高技术产业出口及产出的下降对能源、材料以及金融、零售等服务行业产生较大的影响。

This article focuses on the direct and indirect influences of export on hi-tech industries after the international financial crisis in China, Viewing from the interaction between industries based on input-output structural analysis. The conclusion is that the fluctuation of hi-tech industries dues mainly to the export of hi-tech industries themselves. Furthermore, the decrease of export and output of hi-tech industries has a great impact on energy, material, finance and retail industries.