21世纪上半叶信息科学技术展望

Information Science and Technology Outlook For the First Half of the 21st Century

文章论述了科学技术发展的长波周期规律,重点讨论了推动信息科学技术发展的强劲需求和20年内现有信息技术的改进将遇到的难以逾越的障碍,并预见21世纪上半叶有望兴起一场以网络科学、交叉学科、计算思维和数据知识化为主要方向的信息科学革命。

In this paper, we firstly discussed the long-wave cycle of the scientific and technological development. Then we clarified the strong demands for information technology and predicted that the insurmountable obstacles will be encountered when incrementally improving the existing information technology in the next 20 years Based on these analysis, we foresaw that a new information science revolution may emerge in the first half of the 21st century, the major directions of which will contain network science, interdisciplinary science, computational thinking and knowledge discover from huge amount of data.