1978-2007年中国TFP的估算和分析——基于DEA-Malmquist生产率指数法

The Estimation and Analysis of TFP in China:1978-2007——Based on DEA-Malmquist Index

该文运用非参数Malmquist生产率指数方法,对我国1978—2007年30个省(市、自治区)的全要素生产率进行分析,结果表明:在1978—2007年期间,各省市区的全要素生产率平均增加3.7%,其中东部地区增加4.3%,中部地区增加3.2%,西部地区增加3.6%,全要素生产率提高的主要推动力量是技术水平的提高;改革开放深化时期比改革开放初期时的全要素生产率和技术进步贡献率都有大幅度的提高,且改革开放初期要素生产效率提高大于技术水平提高,改革开放深化时期技术水平大幅度提高,但生产要素使用效率负增长。

This paper, by means of DEA-Malmquist Index, analyzes the total-factor productivity of China＇ s 30 provinces between 1978 and 2007. The findings show that in this period, the average total-factor productivity of every province has an increase of 3.7% ,of which there is an increase of 4.3% in East China, an increase of 3.2% in Central China,and an increase of 3.6% in West China. The main motive power of total-factor productivity is the increasing of technique level. There was a great raise in the total-factor productivity and the contribution rate of technical progress of the deepening period of reform and opening up than its early period, and the increase of the factor productive efficiency was drastic than the technique level in the early period,and although there was a great raise in the level of technology in the deepen pe- riod,there was a decrease in the rate of use of productive factors.