基于元胞自动机的甲型H1N1流感病毒的模型

Swine Influenza Model Based on Cellular Automata

目前甲型H1N1流感是一种危害全球的疾病,它的许多特性还有待进一步发现.本文利用元胞自动机的特点,将人群分为易感者,患病者,治愈者,建立元胞自动机传染病模型对甲型H1N1流感给予研究.模拟结果表明:所建模型可以有效地模拟甲型H1N1流感,同时针对疾病的发生变化,模型可以调整得到有效的结果.特别考虑隔离措施的影响,表明有效隔离是阻止疾病传播的有效手段.

Swine influenza is an epidemic which is threatening people of the earth, and many properties of swine influenza are needed to study further. In this paper, the transmission process of swine influenza is simulated based on a cellular automata model .Besides, the model can be adjusted to obtain better results according to the change of swine influenza.Especially the results of our model shows that isolation is effective to prevent the propagation of epidemic.