Input-occupancy-output models of the non-competitive type and their application - an examination of the China-US trade surplus 被引量：24

Input-occupancy-output models of the non-competitive type and their application - an examination of the China-US trade surplus

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摘要 In this paper we construct an extended non-competitive input-occupancy-output model that captures China＇s processing trade and also develop a methodology to estimate the domestic value-added and employment generated by each unit of total exports, of exports by sector, and of exports by commodity, respectively. We also prove mathematically that the gross value of exports is equal to the sum of total value added and total imports. Based on the methodology proposed here, we compile the 2002 extended Chinese non-competitive input-occupancy-output table and the United States non-competitive input-occupancy- output table, and then estimate and analyze the effects of China＇s exports and US exports on their respective domestic value added and employment. 本文构建了一种能够反映中国加工贸易特点的非竞争（进口）型投入占用产出模型，提出了一个国家全部出口与分部门、分大类商品的单位出口对国内增加值和就业的拉动效应的计算方法，从数学上证明了出口总值等于出口商品所包含的完全国内增加值与完全进口额之和，并据此编制了2002年中美两国的非竞争（进口）型投入占用产出表，测算和分析了中美两国出口对各自国内增加值和就业的影响。

作者 Lawrence J. Lau Xikang Chen Cuihong Yang Leonard K. Cheng K. C. Fung Yun-Wing Sung Kunfu Zhu Jiansuo Pei Zhipeng Tang

机构地区 Stanford University Chinese University of Hong Kong Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science Hong Kong University of Science and Technology University of California at Santa Cruz Chinese University of Hong Kong affiliated to Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science Graduate University of CAS

出处《Social Sciences in China》 2010年第1期35-54,共20页 中国社会科学（英文版）

基金 This is a translated version of the paper published in Chinese in Social Sciences in China （Zhongguo shehui kexue, 2007, no. 5, pp. 91-103）, which has received the ＂Pei-Kang CHANG Development Economics Award＂ and ＂Sun Yefang Economics Award.＂ The authors are grateful to Mr. Tung Chee- hwa, former President of Hong Kong SAR, Chinese University of Hong Kong and National Natural Science Foundation of China （No. 70810107020, 70871108, 60474063） for their financial support. The authors thank Dr Wang Zhi from US International Trade Commission, and anonymous referees for their useful comments. Usual claims are applied.

关键词 non-competitive （import） input-occupancy-output model processing exports non-processing exports domestic value added 投入占用产出竞争性中国模型贸易应用考试出口

分类号 F223 [经济管理—国民经济] F249.214 [经济管理—劳动经济]

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