基于作战对抗的水面舰艇攻潜占位生存概率研究

Research on warship's survival probability in the condition of submarine attacking

在合理的战术想定下,针对反潜作战中水面舰艇占领发射阵位过程中与潜艇的对抗问题,阐述了潜射线导鱼雷的攻击过程以及水面舰艇采用综合对抗模式对抗来袭鱼雷的方法,并运用模拟统计和误差分析的方法求取了特定对抗条件下水面舰艇的生存概率,为提高水面舰艇占领发射阵位时的生存概率提供了理论依据。仿真结果表明,综合对抗模式对抗来袭鱼雷具有很高的成功率,是一种非常有效的对抗方式。

This paper discusses the countermine against the submarine when the worship is occupying the shooting position, describes the attack course of the wire-guided torpedo projected by the submarine and the compositive counterplot against the torpedo, and calculates the survival probability of the warship in the condition of the submarine attacking through simulation methods error analysis methods. It makes the theoretic foundation for improving the survival probability of the worship when it is occupying the shooting position. The results show that compositive counterplot is a very successful method against the torpedo.