地方政府腐败风险预警测评指标体系研究

Research on the Evaluation Index System on the Corruption Risk Forewarning of Local Government

构建地方政府腐败风险预警测评指标体系是建立腐败风险预警机制的重要环节。结合我国现阶段腐败的表现形式和特征,提出了构建地方政府腐败风险预警测评指标体系必须遵循科学性、动态性及可操作性原则。在此基础上,应用德尔菲法设置了指标集,应用层次分析法结构图原理建立了指标体系结构,并依据层次分析法和专家评判法确定了各指标的权重,建构了地方政府腐败风险预警测评指标体系模型;应用模糊综合评判法构建了地方政府风险预警测评模型,通过测评、诊断,发现腐败风险的主要问题及腐败现象发展的趋势。

Constructing the local authority corruption risk early warning evaluation indicator system （CREWEIS） is an important link of the corruption risk early warning mechanism. This article proposes the scientific,dynamic and feasible principles that should be followed in constructing CREWEIS. Thus it puts forward an indicator system structure on the basis of the index set with Deerfei law,the determination of various targets＇ weight according to the application of analytic hierarchy process （AHP） and the law of expert comments to sentence. In addition,a model of CREWEIS has been established with the application of the fuzzy＇ comprehensive judgment,so as to discover the main problems and the tendancy of the corruption risk via the tests and diagnoses of the model.