基于VEC模型的四川省GDP统计数据质量分析

Analysis of the Statistical Data Quality of Sichuan Province's GDP Based on VEC Model

从系统的角度看经济增长,某些指标之间会存在一种相对稳定的关系,可以寻找和利用这种关系对GDP的统计数据质量进行评价。利用四川省GDP,社会消费品零售额,货运周转量建立VEC模型,即带有协整约束的VAR模型对四川省GDP数据质量进行了评估,结果表明GDP数据是可信的。

Considering the economic growth in an angle of system, there may be some stabled relationship between some indicators. We can seek for and use this kind of relationship to carry on the appraisal to the GDP statistical data quality. Using Siehuan Province＇s GDP, the social consumable retail turnover, the freight transportation volume of the circular flow, this article establishes the VEC model, namely the VAR model had the entire cooperation restraint, to cany on the appraisal to the Sichuan＇ s GDP data quality, finally it indicates that the GDP data was credible.