摘要
利用时间序列分析与数理统计分析相结合的方法,建立了合理的模型,对雷州半岛徐闻气象站的年降水量进行了参数估计和动态预测。提出了一种合理的动态预测方法,该方法获得了较高的预测精度。
A reasonable model was established by adopting the methods of time series analysis and statistical analysis.Parametric estimation and dynamic forecast were made based on the annual precipitation of Xuwen Weather Station in Leichou Peninsula.A reasonable dynamic forecasting method with high precision was put forward.
出处
《安徽农业科学》
CAS
北大核心
2009年第36期18099-18100,共2页
Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
关键词
预测
数学模型
降雨量
Forecast
Mathematical model
Precipitation
