我国返乡农民工技能资本与收入关系的实证研究

An Epirical Research on the Relationship between Skill Capital and Income of Return-home Migrant Rural Workers

文章采集了湖南、江西、四川、河南和安徽等劳务输出大省的数据,应用计量经济学方法对数据进行实证分析,应用经典回归理论、协整理论、格朗杰因果检验及脉冲响应函数等计量分析方法全面考量技能资本与返乡农民工收入的关系,得到研究结论:受教育年限在短期对返乡农民工收入不产生影响,技能投入对返乡农民工增收具有直接的影响,技能收入和培训年限是弱外生变量,国家可以通过增加返乡农民工收入来间接影响技能投资结构。

Migrant rural workers who have returned home have brought about unemployment and instability.This paper collected the data of labor-export provinces such as Hunan,Jiangxi,Sichuan,Henan and Anhui and researched the role of skill capital for increasing income to hose return-home migrant rural workers.We apply the classic return theory,Cointegration theory,Granger causality test and impulse response function and finally draw conclusions.In the short term,years of education have no impact on the income of return-home migrant rural worker,while the expenditures for studying skills have significant influence.Government can indirectly affect the pattern of skills investment by increasing the income of return-home migrant rural workers.