中短期汇率结构预测模型

The Short & Middle Term Structural Forecast Models for Exchange Rate

论述和研究了货币主义的两个汇率模型：价格自由浮动模型和价格粘滞模型的理论。以日元兑美元和马克兑美元汇率为研究对象建立了汇率中短期结构预测模型。

In this paper, we first discuss and study the theory of monetarism models for the exchange rate: flexible price and sticky price models. While the exchange rate of Japanese Yen to U.S Dollar and the Deutche Mark to U.S Dollar regarded as our main research object, we set up the short or middle term structural forecast models for the exchange rate.