摘要
根据住宅价格形成机理,构建了综合考虑宏观变量、住宅市场与土地市场等微观变量的多层面住宅价格理论模型,理论与实证研究表明:住宅价格长期均衡价格的影响因素主要有收入、银行信贷,住宅需求与供给,土地价格、土地供给和土地开发;当短期住宅价格偏离长期均衡价格时,市场自身具有一定的自动调节功能;短期住宅价格主要受住宅需求、土地供给和土地开发量等微观因素影响;同时我国房地产市场发展不平衡,不同地区住宅价格既有共同的影响因素,也有各区域的影响因素,同一因素的影响程度不同,且各地区住宅价格回归到均衡价格的速度不同.结论对政府制定住宅市场调控措施具有参考价值.
According to the formation mechanism of housing price, the paper presented Chinese housing multi-aspect factors theoretical model and designed t4e empirical model. The empirical results show that the main long-factors of housing price are income, housing demand, housing supply, bank loan, land supply, land development and land price. The main short-term factors are housing demand, land supply and land development. Chinese housing market is non-balanced, different regional housing price has different factors under some common factors, the influencing degree and the long-run correction rate to market disparity of regional market are also different.
出处
《系统工程理论与实践》
EI
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2010年第1期48-55,共8页
Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金
国家自然科学基金(70672104)
教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-05-0811)
