我国安全评价现状分析及对策的思考

Current Situation of Safety Assessment Work in China and Its Countermeasures

应用安全科学的方法和基本原理,从安全系统工程学、安全经济学的角度出发,以科学发展的态度分析目前评价过程中存在的主要问题,认为政府应加强监管,规范中介机构的行为,加强评价机构的管理,实行优胜劣汰,提高安全评价报告的质量,确保评价结果的科学性;进一步完善跟踪指导,要定性、定量评价互补,并应用综合评价数学模型,使之向科学、规范、有序的方向发展。为防止重特大及频发性事故的发生,为国家、部门和企业的决策提供科学依据;以提高整体的安全生产水平,确保经济安全稳定的运行和持续发展。

By using the methods and basic principles of applied safety science, main problems existing in current safety assessment work in China are analyzed. It is considered that the government should improve the quality of safety assessment reports and ensure the scientificity of assessment results by strengthening supervision, standardizing the acts of intermediaries, strengthening the management of assessment agencies, implementing the idea of ＂survival of the fittest＂ and improving the tracking guide. Meanwhile, assessment agencies should make the assessment develop toward the direction of science, standard and good order by adopting qualitative methods, quantitative methods and comprehensive assessment mathematic models, so as to prevent major accidents occurring, to provide scientific basis for the decision making of the state, related departments and enterprises, and to ensure the healthy and safe development of the economy.