欧盟农产品贸易保护制度的政治经济学分析

A Political Economic Study on EU Agricultural Trade Protectionism

本文在现有的"利益集团——政府"二维贸易政策政治经济学分析模型的基础上,加入了"国际贸易制度"要素,建立了"利益集团——政府——国际贸易制度"三维分析模型,并据此对欧盟农产品贸易保护制度进行政治经济学分析,通过对欧盟机构、农业利益集团和国际贸易制度三个因素在欧盟农产品贸易政策决策中的政治活动考察,结论是:欧盟现有的农业支持与保护制度会有一定程度的松动,但仍将保持常态,由此决定,欧盟在多哈农业谈判中的立场不会有根本性改变,这一结论对我国农业政策和多哈农业谈判立场的调整具有重要的参考意义。

This paper adds ＂international trade regime＂ as a new element into the existing two-dimension ＂interest group-state＂ political economic model so as to form a three-dimension mod- el, i.e., the ＂interest group--state--international trade regime＂ model. With this analysis instrument, the paper has observed the political activities and their influence of EU institutes, agricultural inter- est groups at different level and international trade regime in the EU agricultural trade policy-mak- ing. The basic conclusion is that the existing agricultural trade protectionism of EU will be weak- ened to some extent but its protectionist nature will not be changed. This conclusion is an impor- tant reference to Chinese adjustment on its strategy in both agricultural development and Doha agricultural negotiation.