印度涉华保障措施的政治经济学分析

A Political Economy Analysis of India's China-related Safeguard Measures

随着中国和印度贸易量的增加,中印之间的贸易摩擦日益激烈。2009年以来,印度已经成为对华实施保障措施频率最高的国家。文章运用简化的GH模型,从WTO《保障措施协议》制度的修订、贸易规模、利益集团等多个因素就印度对中国产品实施保障措施的原因及其经济影响进行了贸易政治经济学分析,并据此提出应对中印贸易摩擦的政策主张。

As the trade between China and India develops, trade friction between the two countries has become increasingly fierce. While India implement anti-dumping investigation frequently to China, safeguard measures, which is simple and easy to implement, is becoming another even more effective trade remedy of India. India is the coun- try which implements safeguard measures to China most frequently in 2009. In this paper, a simplified model of GH and method of Political Economy of Trade are used to analyze the causes and the economic impact of India＇ s safe- guard measures on Chinese products, from the perspective of a number of factors such as the revision of the WTO ＂safeguards agreement＂ institution, volume of trade and interest group. Based on this, the proposals of adopting Go- ing-out Strategy and taking advantage of enterprise guild are given to deal with trade friction between China and India.