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军事威逼博弈分析 被引量:3

Game Theoretical Analysis of Compellence in Military Affairs
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摘要 本文通过构造一种三阶段动态博弈模型,对军事威逼行为进行了形式化分析,得出了在完全信息条件下军事威逼现象不会出现的结论;基于对挑战者与威慑者双边不完全信息条件下军事威逼模型博弈均衡的求解,探讨了军事威逼成功应满足的条件。 The paper conducts a formal analysis of eompellence in military affairs, and concludes that the compellence phenomenon can not occur in complete information. The game equilibriums of the eompellenee model with incomplete information of both challenger and the deterer are computed,and the conditions of successful eompellenee are studied.
出处 《运筹与管理》 CSCD 北大核心 2010年第1期5-8,共4页 Operations Research and Management Science
关键词 威逼 威慑 博弈均衡 不完全信息 compellence deterrence incomplete information game equilibrium
分类号 E8 [军事]
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参考文献4

  • 1Thomas Schelling, Arms and Influence[ M ]. New Haven : Yale University Press, 1966.69-91.
  • 2Alexander L. George. Forceful Persuasion: Coercive Diplomacy as an Alternative to Wa [ M ]. Washington: Institute of Peace Press, 1991, "Preface".
  • 3Peter Viggo Jakobsen. Western Use of Coercive Diplomacy After the Cold War: a challenge for theory and practice [ M ]. New York : St. Martin's Press, 1998.2-3.
  • 4[美]朱·弗登博格,[法]让·梯若尔.《博弈论》[M].黄涛等译.北京:中国人民大学出版社,2002,287.

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