农村留守儿童学习成绩对其父母回流决策的影响

The Impact of the Stay-at-home Children's Achievement on Their Parents' Returning Decision

本文以陕西为例,运用计量经济模型对留守儿童学习成绩变化对其父母回流决策的影响进行分析,结果表明:留守儿童学习成绩持续下降会显著影响父亲回流,但对母亲的影响并不显著;除此之外,家庭孩子数量、耕地面积及父母个人特征也是影响父母回流决策的主要因素。为此,积极发展地方经济、开放城镇优质教育资源、在农村开办更多的住读学校或学生托管机构从而为外出农民解除后顾之忧,是解决农村留守儿童教育问题与其父母外出矛盾的有效手段。

Taking Shaanxi as an example,the article gives some empirical evidences on the relationship between parents returning decision from urban to rural and the achievement of stay-at-home children.The results have proved that long-term declining of children＇s achievement has significant effect on the father＇s returning decision while it has no significant effects on mother.Except for this,numbers of children,areas of cultivating lands and individual＇s characteristics also have positive effects on the parents＇ returning decision.According to these results,developing local economy,opening more urban primary schools and building more accommodation schools could be effective to solve the confliction between children＇s education and parent migration.