中国与东盟服务贸易经济贡献度的比较分析

A Comparative Analysis of the Development of Service Trade between China and ASEAN

文章运用服务贸易促进经济增长的理论,采用计量经济学的方法,使用联合国贸发会关于中国与东盟各个成员国1980～2007年间服务贸易的进出口总量、结构等最新数据,对中国与东盟服务贸易发展的现状和经济贡献度进行比较分析,得出结论:一是中国与东盟四个代表国服务贸易各有优势差异,双方具有较强互补性。二是中国与东盟各自服务贸易对经济都有较大的贡献。三是中国与东盟进行服务贸易是双赢之举。

On the basis of the theory about the promoting effect of service trade on economic growth, this paper tries to analyze and compare the import and export volume of service trade and the structure and economic contribution of it between China and ASEAN by using econometric methods and UNCTAD latest official statistics in order to get a better understanding of service trade markets between the two sides. It concludes that the welfare of the two sides has been greatly promoted through service trade, and that it is a win-win situation for the two parties to develop service trade.