广东省财政支出与经济增长关系的实证研究——基于1978～2007年时间序列数据的验证

Guangdong province finance expend and economy growth relation's demonstrative research——experience basing on 1978～2007 time serial data

政府财政支出与经济增长之间的关系如何,学术界目前还没有一致性的结论。本文通过对广东省1978～2007年的财政支出与GDP时间序列数据进行分析,认为广东省GDP和财政支出总量之间有着正向的关系,并且它们之间有着长期稳定的均衡关系,经济增长是财政支出增长的格兰杰原因,而不是相反。

Government spending and economic growth relationship between theacademicsthere is no consistent conclusions. In this paper, in Guangdong Province 1978-2007 fiscal year expenditures and GDP time-series analysis of the data that the GDP and financial expenditure, Guangdong Province, has a positive relationship between total and between them have a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between economic growth the growth of public expenditure to Granger cause, rather than the reverse.