火工品买卖方风险研究

The Risk Research of Pyrotechnics for Buyer and Seller

应用贝叶斯方法研究了火工品买卖方风险问题，在先验分布和历史数据下，给出了买卖方风险的计算公式。在一定的可靠度和风险要求下，确定了产品对应于各种失败数的试验量。

This paper discusses the risk research of pyrotechnics for the buyer and seller with the Bayes method.Under the historical data and prior distribution, the formulation of risk is obtained.Besides, when the required reliability and risk are defined,the experimental number and the corresponding number of failures are determined.