珠三角区域经济非均衡增长因素研究——基于Panel-Data的计量分析

Factors on the Non-balanced Growth of Regional Economy in the Pearl River Delta——Econometric Analysis Based on the Panel-Data

从长期来看,市域间劳动和资本量增长的不平衡,包括技术水平在内的其它要素差异,导致了以广州—深圳最高、佛山—东莞居中、江门—中山—肇庆—珠海—惠州最低为特征的珠三角经济总量地域分布格局的形成。从短期来看,珠三角各市经济总量增长波动主要取决于其劳动和商业资本投入量增长的变化,而且存在自我修复的误差修正机制。

In the long run, the imbalances growth of labor and capital, the differences between other elements including skill level among cities, result in a geographical distribution pattern of total output in the Pearl River Delta that is characterized by the biggest in Guangzhou-Shenzhen, the bigger or lower in Foshan - Dongguan, and the lowest in Jiangrnen-Zhongshan-Zhaoqing-Zhuhai-Huizhou. In the short term, the economic fluctuations of the cities depend mainly on the changes in the investment growth of labor and business capital, and have a self-repair mechanism of error correction.