不确定海况下海上型浮船坞作业性能预测方法研究

Research on Prediction Method of Floating Dock Operation Performance under Uncertain Sea State

海上型浮船坞进行海上作业受到海况等不确定因素影响,作业性能难以在设计阶段进行预测,基本性能试验也无法模拟所有的海况。为此,文中从分析浮船坞作业流程入手,建立作业性能预测指标体系,提出作业性能定量预测模型,依据数据统计和评价模型,进行浮船坞海上作业性能预测。该方法是针对浮船坞作业性能评价的一次尝试,起到辅助设计和试验的作用。

Floating dock operation performance, which is affected by uncertain factors, is hard to be predicted during design and fundamental characteristics test. Quantitative prediction model and index system are developed with analysis on the operation process of floating dock. Prediction of floating dock operation performance is completed based on statistic and evaluation model. This method, which is a trial for prediction of floating dock operation performance, would he helpful for design and examination.