系统动力学在旅游研究中的应用

ON THE APPLICATION OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS IN TOURISM RESEARCH

系统动力学方法以一种结构性的视角,通过对各种系统关系进行精确的量化分析,已被广泛运用于各种社会现象的研究之中。通过分析旅游现象中存在的高阶次、非线性、多重反馈、复杂时变系统的关系特性,认为系统动力学在旅游研究中加以应用,具有可能性与必要性,并结合生态旅游研究、旅行社研究、旅游经济研究、城市旅游研究等研究领域,进行了该方法运用的初步探讨,以期促进系统动力学方法在旅游研究中的应用,丰富旅游研究的理论与方法。今后应不断创新研究方法,加强跟踪研究,将系统动力学方法应用于旅游企业研究、区域旅游和城市规划、生态环境、旅游可持续发展、旅行社供应链研究等方面是今后研究的重点。

From the peculiar structural perspective, system dynamics method was good at accurate quantitative analysis to various relations and it had been widely applied to analyze many kinds of social phenomena of research. Through the analysis of the existing of the higher-order, nonlinear, multiple times feedback, the charac- teristics of the complex time-varying system in tourism phenomena, it was thought that system dynamics method had the possibility and necessity in applications of the tourism research, and combined ecological tourism research, travel agencies research, tourism economy research and urban tourism research fields, which conducted by the method of the preliminary discussion, in order to promote the application of the system dynamics method in tourism research and it was rich in the theory and method of the tourism research. Besides, proposed the future re- searchs should be continued innovative research methods which it is the new trend of the tourism research method, strengthened system dynamics method following-up study in tourism, widen system dynamics method in the new areas of the tourism studies and applied system dynamics method with in tourist enterprise research, the regional tourism and the urban planning research, the ecological environment research, the tourism sustainable develop- ment research, travel agencies in supply chain resaearch was the important emphasis in the future.