改革开放以来我国贸易条件的变动分析与预测

Analysis and Prediction of Trade Terms Since the Reform and Opening up of China

随着我国近几年来经济高速增长,产业结构的不断优化升级,在国际贸易问题上也遇到了许多新的问题。本文将以我国近年来我国制成品贸易以及我国商品贸易条件为研究对象,分析现阶段我国制成品贸易受商品贸易条件恶化和收入贸易条件变化改善的影响,同时对未来两年的商品贸易条件和收入贸易条件以及制成品的出口变动情况进行分析与预测。

As China＇s rapid economic growth in recent years, the constant optimization and upgrading of industrial structure there has had many new problems in international trade issues. This paper analyzed the inflence of deterioration of commodity terms of trade and changes of income trade terms to China＇s manufactured goods trade, taking China＇s trade in manufactures and terms of it, and at the same time, it gave analysis and forecasting for commodity terms of trade, income terms of trade and the changes in exports of manufactured goods in the next years.