车险赔付风险影响因素决策树分析

Decision Tree Analysis of Influencing Factors of the Claim Risk in Vehicle Insurance

车险高赔付问题是车险发展的瓶颈,识别影响车险高赔付率的风险因素,防范控制风险,减少损失对于车险乃至财产保险公司的健康发展具有重要意义。本文从出险次数的角度,对影响车险赔付的三类风险因素:车辆风险、被保险人风险、投保特征风险进行了决策树分析,在此基础上提出了相关的政策建议。

The problem of high claim rate is puzzling the vehicle insurance. If we can identify the risk factors which impact the claim rate, available measures can be adopted to play the rate down. In this paper, we use method of decision tree analysis to analyse factors which impact the claims of vehicle insurance, as follows, risk of vehicle, risk of insured, risk of insurance characteristic. Finally, we proposed some suggestion based on the former analysis.