摘要
构建了由外部影响因素和内部影响因素2个分系统、8个子模块组成的区域金融风险预警系统,运用科学方法遴选出一套有效的预警指标体系,确定了相应的临界值和风险监测预警区间,采用主客观综合赋权方法确定了各指标的组合权重,构造了区域金融风险预警指标体系的综合度量模型,并对2007年江苏区域金融风险状况进行实证检验和分析。
This paper constructs an early warning system of regional financial risks affected by two subsystem and eight modules of internal and external factors. It selects a set of effective early warning system and determines the corresponding critical value, the risk monitoring and early warning interval by scientific methods,, in accordance with the simplicity, practicality and sensitivity requirements. Also, empowering the use of subjective and objective integrated approach, it aims to determine the combination of the weight indicators and the construction of a comprehensive measurement model for the early warning indicators of regional financial risks. Finally, it trys to make an empirical testing and analysis of the regional financial risk of Jiangsu, in 2007.
出处
《软科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第3期69-74,共6页
Soft Science
基金
国家自然基金资助项目(70671056)
镇江市软科学项目(RK2008032)
关键词
区域金融风险
预警系统
综合度量模型
综合风险度
regional financial risk
early warning system
comprehensive measurement model
comprehensive - risk degrees
