摘要
水资源风险评价是水资源能否合理利用和可持续发展的首要问题。首先对水资源风险的定义进行归类总结,给出了较全面和数学化的定义。其次,通过对风险指数法、概率方法和模糊方法等水资源风险评价方法的全面分析,从数学和统计学的角度指出各种方法的长处与不足。
Risk Evaluation of Water Resources is the most important issue for the rational utilization and sustainable development of water resources. In this paper, the definition of the risk of water resources are classified and summed up, and a more comprehensive and mathematical definition is given. Furthermore, risk evaluation methods are comprehensive discussed, such as risk index method, probabilistic methods and fuzzy methods, which are pointed out the strengths and weaknesses of various methods through the aspects of mathematics and statistics.
出处
《南水北调与水利科技》
CAS
CSCD
2010年第2期69-72,共4页
South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology
基金
国家大学生创新性实验计划项目资助课题"水资源风险评价的数学模型及其在北京市的应用"(08-38)
关键词
水资源风险
风险评价
研究方法
Risk of water resources
risk evaluation
methods of study
