成渝经济区经济重心演变路径、建模及预测——基于投资与收益视角分析

The Evolution Track、Modeling and Predicting of Economic Gravity Center in ChengYu Economic Region——Analysis based on Investment and Income Perspective

本文应用重心模型理论,选择中国新兴经济区——成渝经济区为研究对象,从区域投资与收益重心变化及其协调性角度出发,并以投资和收益双指标权衡处理后作为区域经济重心,探讨了成渝经济区经济发展的特征及重心演变路径。在此基础上,将其经济重心空间移动轨迹拟合成数学模型,找出其演变规律并进行预测,并通过GIS技术实现空间表达,对成渝经济区的"双核"经济增长极模式进行了深入分析和探讨。

With the gravity center model theory, this paper analyzes the economic characteristics and the evolution track of economic gravity center of ChengYu economic region, which is a newly arisen economic region in china, and these analyses are based on the perspective of regional investment and income, and taking the treated resnh of them by a tradeoff method as the regional economic gravity center. After that, fitting the evolution track to a mathematical model, finding out its evolution law and predicting its trend. Using GIS technology, this paper also makes a deeply discussion on the model of binuclear economic growth pole of ChengYu economic region.