中国HCFC-22的消费与排放清单及预测

Trends and Prediction of HCFC-22 Consumptions and Emissions in China

根据1989—2007年我国相关行业的历史数据,计算出我国房间空调行业、工商制冷行业、泡沫行业和化工行业等终端用途HCFC-22的消费清单,并使用自下而上法对各行业HCFC-22的排放量进行了计算。根据第五条款国加速淘汰HCFCs进程表和我国相关行业的发展趋势,预测了我国未来20年HCFC-22的消费量和排放量,为我国履行《蒙特利尔议定书》提供依据。

This study investigated the consumptions of HCFC-22 from 1989 to 2007 in China according to the end-use data from HCFC-22 related sectors including air-conditioning, industrial and commercial refrigerant, foam and chemical sectors, and calculated the HCFC-22 emissions from the correspondent sectors by using the bottom-up approach. In line with the accelerating process of HCFCs phaseout schedule and the development plan of related sector in China, the consumptions and emissions of HCFC-22 were estimated for the next 20 year. These results can be used for China＇ s phaseout plan of HCHF-22.