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基于二叉树模型的输电投资决策分析 被引量:2

Analysis of Power Transmission Investment Decision Based on Binomial Tree Model
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摘要 提出了输电投资决策的实物期权分析框架,并构建了输电投资决策的二叉树模型。该模型在考虑市场中的节点电价波动性的基础上,对投资方案的期权价值进行评估,进而选择最优方案。以IEEE-7节点系统为例验证了该模型的合理性和正确性。 A real option analytic framework for the transmission investment strategies was proposed and a binary-tree model was built in this paper.Considering the variance of 1ocational prices,this paper assesses the option value of investments and then selects the optional investment program.An example of IEEE 7 bus system was provided to test the rationality and validity of this model.
出处 《华东电力》 北大核心 2010年第2期201-204,共4页 East China Electric Power
基金 国家自然科学基金项目(70671041 70771039) 北京市教育委员会共建项目专项资助
关键词 二叉树 节点电价 输电投资决策 看涨期权 binomial tree locational price transmission investment decision call options
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参考文献5

  • 1BLACK F, SCHOLES M. The pricing of options and corporate liabilities [ J ]. Journal of Political Economy, 1973, 81 (3) : 637-654.
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  • 5CARO-OCHOA P I. Evaluation of transmission congestion impact on electricity markets [ D ]. Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of lllinois at Urbana- Champaign, University of Illinois, Masters Thesis.

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