对外贸易与经济增长:外需大幅下滑时期的视角

Foreign Trade and Economic Growth:A Perspective of Sharp Drop in External Demand

改革开放以来,我国在出口激励型战略的指导下,与世界各国经贸往来日益频繁,对外贸易快速发展,成为经济增长的"发动机"。由于我国主要以劳动密集和资源密集比较优势参与国际分工,处于国际分工的中低端环节,正在陷入贸易条件恶化,竞争优势减弱,技术进步和制度创新进展缓慢的"比较优势陷阱"。因此,国内外环境的变化及外贸发展中暴露出的深层次问题需要我国建立能够促进就业和经济稳定增长的可持续外贸发展战略。

Since the reform and opening up, China＇ s economic and trade exchanges with other countries have become more and more frequent, foreign trade has developed rapidly under the guidance of the incentive export strategy and has become an engine of economic growth. China＇ s participation in the international division of labor relies on the main advantage of labor-intensive and resource-intensive industries belonging to the low- end of international labor division. At present, faced with deteriorating terms of trade, reducing competitive advantage,etc. China is likely to fall into a ＂comparative advantage trap＂ . The paper suggests that China should follow a sustainable foreign trade development strategy in order to promote its employment and steady economic growth.