基于混沌理论哲学观的旅游地生命周期理论

Tourist Area Life Cycle Theory Based on Chaos Theory Philosophy

从1980年Butler提出旅游地生命周期理论之后,中外学者对旅游地生命周期理论进行了广泛的理论研究。通过引入混沌理论哲学观念对旅游地生命周期理论进行探讨,研究旅游地系统中的奇异吸引子、初值敏感性及自相似结构等问题,对旅游地生命周期理论的理论价值、预测意义等作了探索,认为旅游地的成长必须围绕其奇异吸引子进行,也就是在充分考虑市场需求的基础上,通过对旅游产品的再生性开发延长旅游地生命周期。

Since the birth of Destination Life Cycle Theory in 1980, it has been widely discussed in both theory and practice. This thesis introduces the Chaos Theory to explain the nonlinear progress of tourist destinations, considering two strange attractive factors, the sensitivity of initial way and self - similarity structure. A deep study has been made on the theory value and forecasting meaning of the Destination Life Cycle Theory. The development of tourist destination has no upper limit in theory and must be focused on its strange attractive factors to prolong the life cycle through the regeneration of product considering market demands.