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被吹捧的黄金

The Crazy Gold
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摘要 2009年11月25日,纽约金属交易所黄金现货价格突破每盎司1190美元,创下历史新高。截至该日,2009年现货黄金价格已经上涨超过了1/3;而过去两年内,金价已经翻番。全球流动性泛滥、通胀预期高企、印度央行大量买金以及国际游资的多方“煽风点火”之下,国际金价不断地创造着纪录。 The spot price of gold on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose on 25 September 2009 to a record high of USD 1,190 per ounce,a 30 percent rise in the already high price,which had doubled during the past two years.The superfluous flexibility,doubts about inflation,and India's large-scale purchasing are among the factors contributing to the vigorous rise of the gold price.The price is not all that is going crazy.In Beijing,an analyst argued that any price of less than USD 3,000 per ounce would be reasonable.An optimistic expert on Wall Street even predicted in May 2009 that the gold price would reach USD 8,000 per ounce.On 3 November 2009,India bought 200 tons of gold from the IMF,and it was reported there would be another 200-ton order.China may follow.Russia and Sri Lanka were taking action before India.The return of investments in gold is not so high in the long run.Larry Hsien Ping Lang,a famous economist in Hong Kong,China,said that fi ve taels of gold could buy a courtyard in Beijing 100 years ago,but now it is hardly worth a toilet in a flat room.The economic downturn spurred the recent surge in the gold price.As the downturn ends,so too will the boom in the value of gold.
作者 赵留彦
机构地区 北京大学金融系
出处 《中国海关》 2010年第1期39-39,8,共1页
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